The reason that we should think twice about broadly asserting our superpower stutus is twofold. One: it is a thankless task. The friends we create may not be stronger than than the enemies we create. Two: it is terribly expensive. Our 2004 deficit is projected to be
over $455 billion. That is roughly our defense budget. So wonderful, we could balance the budget if we do away with our military——not something useful to consider. Is it true that this is only money that "we owe ourselves" as Reagan once suggested? No, three quarters of the
money borrowed is owned by outside interests; a large majority of that
Saudi and European interests. If, for political reasons, a cabal of financiers ever wanted to strike back at our hegemony, they could work in concert to repatriate funds that exist in our markets and make things very dire for us. Our economy would collapse.
We spend as much for our military power as the next 25 countries combined. Per capita, it costs each and everyone of us $953 to field such strength. Only Sinapore and Israel pay more on a per capita basis. We borrow money to do this and, ultimately, this could prove to be as destabilizing as certain threats to our security.
With a sound budget, a sound economy, and a strengthened infrastructure that provides resources to citizens, along with a capable military, we are in a better position to argue our initiatives in a world community. But it may well be that in channeling 3 - 5% of our GDP towards defense year after year we will forfeit the game of economic supremacy. If you are compelled by the force of high interest rates and dimished economic conditions, it can feel like an imposed dictatorship. As someone once said, "It isn't undignified being poor, but it may as well be."
So Iraq held chemical weapons--now what?
What are realistic scenarios for what may be anticipated during a chemical attack affecting the domestic U.S.? Last fall I began asking myself that question and attempted to research available data. Since I live in a large urban area that was of known interest to terrorists (Chicago) and I was managing a high rise downtown and responsible for drafting evacuation and preparedness procedures, I felt it important to acquaint myself as best as I could with some facts.
The wide range of casualty estimates and the highly speculative scenarios I uncovered in mainstream literature gave me the impression that very little is known for sure about what would really happen in an attack. The most informative piece that I read was from an Army master gunner who created a handbook for how to respond to an actual attack. LINK.
Worst case scenario is a chemical attack such as what happened in the Tokyo subway (nerve gas). Less than 1% of those injured and exposed died.
One principal reason blister agents, nerve gas, and bio weapons use has not been more prevalent in violent conflicts (some of these bastards have been around a good, long time) is that these weapons have not proved effective or decisive enough and are extremely difficult to deploy.
If WMDs are the foremost emerging threat our country has to deal with in the modern world, everyone is going to require a lot of training and awareness of what to do. I may sound naive in saying this, but I think the threat is managable. After doing some reading (from multiple sources, including War College assessments), I fear these weapons far less than I once did. And while I wish they were not around, I think that if first responders are trained and municipalities are informed we have a good chance of surviving a substantial attack should one come.
The nature of the perceived threat that Iraq posed prior to the invasion is still not fully substantiated, however. Without long range missiles, how were warheads going to deploy to do damage on foreign soil? I simply have never seen a realistic scenario presented.
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